Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.