Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.