Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.