Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.