Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.