Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.