FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK

Lincoln
6 - 2
Forest Green

Grant (17', 24' pen.), Johnson (64'), Scully (78', 88'), Jones (90+2')
Edun (10'), Grant (68'), Archibald (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Whitehouse (82'), Young (90+4')
Kitching (23')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Lincoln City and Forest Green Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
33.68%	25.4%	40.91%

Both teams to score 55.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09%

47.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91%

70.08%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76%

27.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.34%

62.66%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76%

23.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84%

57.16%

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 33.68%

Forest Green Rovers 40.91%

Draw 25.4%

Lincoln City	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3% Total : 33.68%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.91%