Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.