Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.