League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Crawley

Craig (33' og.), Williams (48')
Thomas (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nadesan (90+1')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Crawley Town
53.58%	25.19%	21.23%

Both teams to score 47.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.11%

54.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.82%

76.18%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51%

20.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03%

52.96%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.13%

40.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.56%

77.44%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 53.57%

Crawley Town 21.23%

Draw 25.18%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.57%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.49% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.23%