Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.