Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.