Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.