League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
0 - 1
Gillingham

Galbraith (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kelman (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Doncaster Rovers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Gillingham	46	-34	40
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38
23	AFC Wimbledon	46	-26	37

Gillingham

Last Six:

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40
21	Gillingham	46	-34	40
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Gillingham

Given the major importance of the meeting in the battle for survival, we expect this to be a cagey affair and just give the edge to the hosts. McSheffrey's side have looked far more competent recently, and, if they are able to lift the mood in the camp after a heavy defeat, they could have enough to secure all three points with home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Gillingham
28.18%	28.19%	43.62%

Both teams to score 45.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.4%

60.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31%

80.69%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.29%

37.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.51%

74.48%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39%

27.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86%

63.13%

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 28.18%

Gillingham 43.62%

Draw 28.18%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 6.37% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.18%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 13.39% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-3 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.19% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.77% Total : 43.62%