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[monks data]
Doncaster Rovers
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Gillingham

Doncaster
0 - 1
Gillingham


Galbraith (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kelman (1')

Preview: Doncaster Rovers vs. Gillingham - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Doncaster Rovers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A crucial battle at the bottom end of the League One table will take place at the Keepmoat Stadium on Saturday, as Doncaster Rovers entertain Gillingham.

The two sides currently sit 23rd and 22nd, four and three points adrift of safety respectively.


Match preview

Cardiff boss Neil Harris on February 8, 2020© Reuters

Following a poor first half to the season, Doncaster Rovers' hopes of survival in League One looked all but gone, but they have kept themselves in the fight recently.

With a run of seven games producing 10 points in February, Gary McSheffrey's side were able to jump off the foot of the division, as they picked up impressive wins over Sunderland, Lincoln City and Accrington Stanley.

Last month culminated in a slightly disappointing 2-2 draw with fellow strugglers AFC Wimbledon, before the Reds' chance of survival took a major hit last weekend as they were thrashed 4-0 by Cheltenham Town.

An Alfie May brace and goals from Ben Williams and Mattie Pollock condemned McSheffrey's side to a demoralising defeat, leaving them four points adrift in a division from which four sides are relegated every season.

With just nine league games left to play, the Yorkshire outfit will know that they cannot rest on their improved recent form if they are to stand a chance of avoiding the drop and must continue to pick up victories in the final run of the campaign, starting with Saturday's crucial clash against a rival in that battle.

Doncaster Rovers' Joe Dodoo scores their first goal on January 18, 2022© Reuters

The visitors find themselves in a similar position, as the Gills have a three-point gap to bridge.

A poor run since late October saw Saturday's visitors dragged deep into the relegation scrap, although they looked to have improved with victories over Crewe Alexandra, Cambridge United and Lincoln City across a seven-game span in February following the appointment of Neil Harris.

That most recent win was followed by a harmful loss of their own last time out, as the Priestfield outfit were thrashed 3-0 by Bolton Wanderers courtesy of goals from Aaron Morley, Declan John and Jon Dadi Bodvarsson.

As a result, the Gills remain three points adrift of safety with 10 games left to play, making Saturday's meeting a true six-pointer as both teams look to crawl closer to safety.

Doncaster Rovers League One form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Gillingham League One form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Gillingham's Max Ehmer receives medical attention after sustaining an injury on December 7, 2021© Reuters

Doncaster Rovers will be without experienced midfielder Adam Clayton, who is suspended for the weekend's game after he was sent off in their defeat to Cheltenham.

In his absence, Ethan Galbraith could return to the starting XI as a midfield anchor alongside Matthew Smith and Danny Gardner.

Attackers Kieran Agard, Joe Dodoo and Reo Griffiths will all be challenging for starts, while Norwich City loanee Josh Martin is likely to keep his place on the left-hand side of a front three.

Gillingham have a suspension of their own to deal with, after midfielder Daniel Phillips was shown a red card last time out.

Despite suffering a 3-0 defeat, the back three of Max Ehmer, Jack Tucker and Conor Masterson should remain untouched, while Vadaine Oliver will likely continue to lead the line, having hit seven league goals so far this term.

Doncaster Rovers possible starting lineup:
Mitchell; Knoyle, Williams, Olowu, Jackson; Smith, Galbraith, Gardner; Rowe, Dodoo, Martin

Gillingham possible starting lineup:
Chapman; Ehmer, Masterson, Tucker; Jackson, O'Keefe, Reeves, McKenzie; Carayol, Oliver, Thompson


SM words green background

We say: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Gillingham

Given the major importance of the meeting in the battle for survival, we expect this to be a cagey affair and just give the edge to the hosts.

McSheffrey's side have looked far more competent recently, and, if they are able to lift the mood in the camp after a heavy defeat, they could have enough to secure all three points with home advantage.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:480388:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9599:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Doncaster vs Gillingham

Doncaster Rovers
54.5%
Draw
9.1%
Gillingham
36.4%
11
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Tables header RHS
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1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815


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