League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
1 - 3
Cheltenham

Leigh (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sercombe (44'), Wright (46'), May (80')
Bonds (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

Last Six:

Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Sunderland
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambridge 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Cambridge United	46	-18	58
15	Cheltenham Town	46	-14	56
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Cheltenham Town

Morecambe need to start picking up some points in order to fight against relegation, and that is something they have been doing, with several draws taking place. Considering the fact that Cheltenham Town have been quite inconsistent as of late, this could be another opportunity for the Shrimps to earn a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Cheltenham Town
45.79%	25.08%	29.14%

Both teams to score 54.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.78%

48.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.63%

70.38%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.91%

21.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.09%

53.92%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.59%

30.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.39%

66.61%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 45.79%

Cheltenham Town 29.14%

Draw 25.07%

Morecambe	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.57% Total : 45.79%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.14%