League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Ayunga (90+3')
Leigh (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Raggett (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Morecambe and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

Last Six:

Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Sunderland
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40

Portsmouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Bolton Wanderers	46	17	73
10	Portsmouth	46	17	73
11	Ipswich Town	46	21	70

We said: Morecambe 2-2 Portsmouth

Both teams have been among the goals in recent games, and we expect that to continue on Monday, but with both sides in fine form, we think that it may be tricky for either team to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Portsmouth
28.24%	24.55%	47.21%

Both teams to score 56.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53%

46.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25%

68.75%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.85%

30.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.7%

66.3%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23%

19.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.19%

51.81%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 28.24%

Portsmouth 47.21%

Draw 24.55%

Morecambe	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 7.15% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 4.28% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.14% Total : 28.24%	1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 7.83% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.21%