League One

League One | Gameweek 34

Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Greenhous Meadow

Shrewsbury
5 - 0
Morecambe

Udoh (44', 65'), Leahy (47' pen., 51'), Bowman (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wildig (50'), McLoughlin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Wigan
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Lincoln City	46	-8	52
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42

Morecambe

Last Six:

Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Sunderland
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40

We said: Shrewsbury Town 2-1 Morecambe

They have not played all that bad, but psychologically many things that could go wrong for Morecambe have lately, and that alone can be challenging to overcome when you are in a slump and desperate to stay in the league. Their current winless slide may be longer than their opponents on Saturday, but The Shrews are a side with a lot more confidence at home, and their tight and compact midfield should be able to take away a lot of The Shrimps time and space, which would allow them to focus heavily on stopping the dangerous Cole Stockton. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Morecambe
41.56%	26.79%	31.64%

Both teams to score 50.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.74%

54.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.34%

75.65%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25%

25.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31%

60.68%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.27%

31.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.85%

68.15%

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 41.56%

Morecambe 31.64%

Draw 26.79%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.56%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.64%