League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
3 - 2
Lincoln

Hirst (50' pen.), Jacobs (68'), Curtis (82')
Thompson (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bishop (70'), House (78')
Jackson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Bolton Wanderers	46	17	73
10	Portsmouth	46	17	73
11	Ipswich Town	46	21	70

Lincoln City

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53
17	Lincoln City	46	-8	52
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Lincoln City

Pompey should be filled with confidence from their thrashing of Rotherham at the weekend, and we see them making it back-to-back wins. With the advantage of a home Fratton Park crowd, Cowley's men should outclass a Lincoln side lacking any consistency. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Lincoln City
49.85%	24.98%	25.16%

Both teams to score 52.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.5%

50.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.58%

72.42%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73%

20.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38%

52.62%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28%

34.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55%

71.45%

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 49.85%

Lincoln City 25.16%

Draw 24.98%

Portsmouth	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.85%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.16%