League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 3
Fleetwood

Long (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Macadam (18'), Pilkington (64'), Harrison (73')

Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38
23	AFC Wimbledon	46	-26	37
24	Crewe Alexandra	46	-46	29

Fleetwood Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40
21	Gillingham	46	-34	40

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Fleetwood Town
33.22%	25.81%	40.97%

Both teams to score 54.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.19%

49.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19%

71.81%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55%

28.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79%

64.22%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95%

24.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67%

58.33%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 33.22%

Fleetwood Town 40.97%

Draw 25.81%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.6% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.22%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.97%