League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Mar 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
3 - 1
Fleetwood

Embleton (55'), O'Nien (82'), Clarke (90+1')
Evans (22'), Cirkin (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Harrison (28')
Jules (76')
Jules (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Sunderland and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

Last Six:

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Sunderland
Monday, May 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Next Game: Sunderland vs. Wycombe
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85
5	Sunderland	46	26	84
6	Wycombe Wanderers	46	24	83

Fleetwood Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40
21	Gillingham	46	-34	40

We said: Sunderland 2-0 Fleetwood Town

Sunderland's form may have taken a dip as of late, but the Black Cats should head into this match as the favourites due to their league positioning alone, and they will be confident of securing three points. Fleetwood Town have got a lot to fight for within this match in their own right, but the hosts should have enough quality to just edge things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Fleetwood Town
70.72%	18.14%	11.14%

Both teams to score 46.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.15%

43.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.76%

66.24%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86%

11.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.41%

35.59%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.19%

47.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.91%

83.09%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 70.7%

Fleetwood Town 11.14%

Draw 18.14%

Sunderland	Draw	Fleetwood Town
2-0 @ 12.82% 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.59% Total : 70.7%	1-1 @ 8.63% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.14%	0-1 @ 3.93% 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.14%