Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
