Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.