Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.