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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
44.73% | 25.63% | 29.64% |
Both teams to score 53.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% | 50.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% | 72.25% |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% | 22.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.02% | 55.98% |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.88% | 31.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.56% | 67.44% |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.73% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |