MK Dons

3 - 1

Fleetwood

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.