Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 51%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.