Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.