Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.