Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
