Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
35.9% ( 0.17) | 26.11% ( 0.05) | 37.99% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 53.84% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.33% ( -0.2) | 50.66% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( -0.17) | 72.57% ( 0.17) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% ( 0.01) | 27.22% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( 0.01) | 62.64% ( -0.01) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( -0.21) | 26.03% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( -0.28) | 61.06% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |