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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Exeter City

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Exeter


Brown (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nombe (79')
Sparkes (84'), Stansfield (90+1'), Blackman (90+5'), Collins (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Charlton
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Exeter City

 After both sides were involved in thrilling matches on Thursday, we can envisage more goals between these two teams on Sunday. The short turnaround is likely to cause some tired legs out there at Kassam Stadium, with both managers' usage of their respective benches potentially pivotal during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
58.45% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 21.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.9% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.06% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)41.64% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.054000000000002 0.05)34.82% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.056999999999999 0.06)71.56% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 58.45%
    Exeter City 19.9%
    Draw 21.64%
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.45%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.9%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Exeter

Oxford United
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Exeter City
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
Hartridge (22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
 Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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