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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
3 - 4
Exeter

Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Collins (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Diabate (40'), Caprice (45'), Brown (59'), Sparkes (68'), Collins (72'), Nombe (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Exeter City

 Both teams enjoy playing on the front foot, so it would be a surprise if either team managed a clean sheet at Memorial Stadium on Thursday evening. However, Bristol Rovers are undoubtedly in better form at present, with Barton hoping to claim his side's fourth win in six league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
48.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.05% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.43% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.99% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)49.81% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.07 0.07)71.81% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)20.55% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.029999999999994 0.03)53.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (0.075000000000003 0.08)33.3% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.91% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 48.51%
    Exeter City 26.43%
    Draw 25.04%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Exeter City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Evans (15')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Exeter
Hoole (10')
Brown (24')
Grounds (90')
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Exeter
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Forte (50'), Randall (81')
Abrahams (90')

Menayese (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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