League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter3 - 2Peterborough
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Exeter
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Exeter City 1-1 Peterborough United
Caldwell is taking charge of his first home game so will get his players right up for it. Posh are poor away from home, but should still have enough quality to at least equal their hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
41.88% ( 0.15) | 25.4% ( 0.02) | 32.72% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( -0.16) | 48.15% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( -0.15) | 70.31% ( 0.14) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0) | 22.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.38% ( 0.01) | 56.62% ( -0.01) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.19) | 27.96% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.41% ( -0.24) | 63.59% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
Exeter City 41.88%
Peterborough United 32.72%
Draw 25.4%
| Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.72% |
How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough
Exeter City
18.2%Draw
18.2%Peterborough United
63.6%11
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
3-0
Exeter
Boyd (10', 74'), Mackail-Smith (87')
Sep 18, 2010 3pm
Form Guide
