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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Peterborough United

Exeter
3 - 2
Peterborough

Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dieng (55'), Sparkes (65'), Brown (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Peterborough United

Caldwell is taking charge of his first home game so will get his players right up for it. Posh are poor away from home, but should still have enough quality to at least equal their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
41.88% (0.152 0.15) 25.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 32.72% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (-0.157 -0.16)48.15% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-0.145 -0.15)70.31% (0.143 0.14)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)27.96% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.242 -0.24)63.59% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 41.88%
    Peterborough United 32.72%
    Draw 25.4%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Peterborough United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
Sep 18, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS


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