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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Charlton

Bodin (20'), Taylor (24'), O'Donkor (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leaburn (67')
Chin (45'), Leaburn (66'), Payne (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Oxford United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Both teams are struggling for form in the league, but the introduction of Holden may have a positive effect on the visitors after an opening draw, and we see them being boosted and ending their winless run on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
55.63% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 22.83% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 21.55% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.386 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (0.416 0.42)45.02% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (0.39700000000001 0.4)67.38% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (0.11800000000001 0.12)16.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62% (0.214 0.21)45.38% (-0.214 -0.21)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.369 0.37)34.96% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.386 0.39)71.71% (-0.386 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 55.63%
    Charlton Athletic 21.55%
    Draw 22.82%
Oxford UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.63%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.55%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Charlton

Oxford United
Draw
Charlton Athletic
Oxford United
39.1%
Draw
21.7%
Charlton Athletic
39.1%
23
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
0-4
Oxford Utd

Leko (10'), Jaiyesimi (23'), Purrington (24'), Inniss (63'), Morgan (77'), Famewo (82')
Clare (62')
Taylor (21', 28'), Baldock (54'), Brannagan (83')
Moore (29'), Sykes (53'), Taylor (63'), Brown (72')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Charlton
Williams (23'), Brannagan (31')
Rodriguez (37'), Taylor (89')
Washington (36' pen.)
Stockley (67'), Famewo (87')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Charlton
2-0
Oxford Utd
Washington (32'), Shinnie (45+1')
Watson (47'), Inniss (61'), Gunter (73')
Inniss (66')

Rodriguez (25'), Taylor (62'), Moore (87'), Kelly (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham37218851302171
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe361911661342768
4Charlton AthleticCharlton37199949321766
5Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Barnsley37157155153-252
11Blackpool371215105550551
12Lincoln CityLincoln371310145345849
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham36129154042-245
15Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
16Exeter CityExeter36128164051-1144
17Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
19Northampton TownNorthampton371012153754-1742
20Bristol Rovers37126193960-2142
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3779213971-3230
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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