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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
55.63% ( -0.08) | 22.83% ( -0.06) | 21.55% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( 0.42) | 45.02% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( 0.4) | 67.38% ( -0.4) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% ( 0.12) | 16.03% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.62% ( 0.21) | 45.38% ( -0.21) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% ( 0.37) | 34.96% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% ( 0.39) | 71.71% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |