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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Ipswich
1 - 1
Plymouth

Burns (63')
Burns (11'), Hirst (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mumba (90+3')
Wilson (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 0-0 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth drew their last League One away game 0-0 against fifth-placed Bolton Wanderers, and so a similar result should be expected on Saturday, with very little separating the two teams. That result is likely to suit the visitors far more than the hosts, as it would maintain Argyle's seven-point lead over Ipswich, setting them up nicely for an easier game at home to Cheltenham next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.24% (0.194 0.19) 19.51% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 13.25% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.085999999999999 0.09)44.62% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)66.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (0.079999999999998 0.08)12.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (0.169 0.17)38.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.25% (-0.126 -0.13)44.75% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.26% (-0.104 -0.1)80.73% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 67.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 13.25%
    Draw 19.51%
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.22%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.51%
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 13.25%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth

Ipswich Town
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Plymouth Argyle
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Jephcott (44'), Grant (50')
Garrick (75')
Edmundson (14')
Edmundson (22'), Chaplin (26'), Morsy (56'), Nsiala (75')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Ipswich
Jephcott (14')
Mayor (52'), Nouble (71'), Watts (79')
Mayor (71')
Nolan (73'), Jackson (74')
McGavin (50'), Cornell (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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