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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.24% ( 0.19) | 19.51% ( -0.08) | 13.25% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.38% ( 0.09) | 44.62% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% ( 0.08) | 66.99% ( -0.09) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.69% ( 0.08) | 12.31% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.91% ( 0.17) | 38.09% ( -0.17) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.25% ( -0.13) | 44.75% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.26% ( -0.1) | 80.73% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 67.22% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.51% | 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |