EFL Trophy | Third Round
Dec 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Home Park
Plymouth3 - 3AFC Wimbledon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon will travel to Home Park with plenty of confidence and optimism that they can cause an upset, but we see the Pilgrims being too strong and back them to advance to the quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
60% ( 0.85) | 22.11% ( -0.17) | 17.89% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
