Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
59.68% ( -0.01) | 23.25% ( 0.02) | 17.06% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.91% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.17% ( -0.11) | 52.83% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.55% ( -0.09) | 74.45% ( 0.09) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% ( -0.04) | 17.38% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.2% ( -0.07) | 47.8% ( 0.06) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.57% ( -0.09) | 44.43% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.53% ( -0.07) | 80.47% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.68% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |