League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Williams (12'), Jephcott (17')
Hutton (53'), Darcy (81'), Iandolo (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Odour (28')
Murray (58'), Tumilty (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hartlepool United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-6 Everton U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
64.06% ( 0.17)	21.15% ( -0.12)	14.79% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.22% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

0.37)

48.41% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

0.34)

70.55% (

-0.34)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.58% (

0.17)

14.42% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.65% (

0.34)

42.35% (

-0.34)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.17% (

0.14)

44.82% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.21% (

0.11)

80.79% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 64.05%

Hartlepool United 14.79%

Draw 21.15%

Swindon Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 64.05%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.15%	0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.79%