We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Tranmere Rovers
Tranmere do not travel well to the County Ground, with a poor recent record there in recent years. That, combined with the fact that Swindon are slightly above them in the table, means that they may well fall to a narrow defeat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.