EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe0 - 1Tranmere
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Tranmere Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Crewe
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Crewe
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
27.25% ( -1) | 25.62% ( -0.11) | 47.13% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.39% ( -0.14) | 51.61% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.6% ( -0.12) | 73.4% ( 0.12) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.4% ( -0.85) | 33.6% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% ( -0.94) | 70.25% ( 0.94) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( 0.45) | 21.9% ( -0.44) |