Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Bolton Wanderers and Crewe Alexandra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Exeter City | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Bolton Wanderers | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Northampton Town | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Crewe Alexandra | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Mansfield Town | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
58.71% ( -0.01) | 21.82% ( -0) | 19.47% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.64% ( 0.02) | 43.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.24% ( 0.02) | 65.76% ( -0.02) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( 0.01) | 14.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.6% ( 0.01) | 42.4% ( -0) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( 0.03) | 36.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.13% ( 0.03) | 72.87% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers 58.7%
Crewe Alexandra 19.47%
Draw 21.82%
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.41% 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.82% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.47% |
How you voted: Bolton vs Crewe
Bolton Wanderers
83.3%Draw
16.7%Crewe Alexandra
0.0%6
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
