FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 1
Tranmere

Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Harris (74'), Armer (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Byrne (82')
Davies (50')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Carlisle United and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Carlisle United 2-0 Tranmere Rovers

Carlisle cruised to victory at Prenton Park last week, and they should have no trouble doing the same again on home turf. We expect the Blues to repeat the scoreline from last week and book their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
30.38% ( -0.05)	26.71% ( 0.01)	42.91% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.66% (

-0.05)

54.34% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28% (

-0.04)

75.72% (

0.04)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.34% (

-0.06)

32.66% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.79% (

-0.07)

69.21% (

0.07)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

0.01)

25.09% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.21% (

0.01)

59.79% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 30.38%

Tranmere Rovers 42.91%

Draw 26.7%

Carlisle United	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.38%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.91%