League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 3
Leyton Orient

Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Gibson (70'), Mellish (70'), Huntington (72'), Harris (90+3')
Edmondson (36')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Hunt (8'), Drinan (70'), Vigouroux (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Leyton Orient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leyton Orient

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-3 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 8.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Leyton Orient
33.1% ( -0.05)	28.26% ( 0)	38.64% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46.74% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.57% (

-0.01)

59.43% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.2% (

-0.01)

79.8% (

0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

-0.04)

33.38% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99% (

-0.04)

70.01% (

0.05)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

0.02)

29.83% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08% (

0.02)

65.92% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 33.09%

Leyton Orient 38.64%

Draw 28.26%

Carlisle United	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.09%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.26%	0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.64%