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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Carlisle United

Tranmere
0 - 2
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (1', 54' pen.)
Dennis (66'), Mellish (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Carlisle United

With the two sides deadlocked in the table, it would make sense for Saturday's game to finish as a draw. Tranmere were frustrated by a team who came to Prenton Park with a defensive plan on Tuesday night, so Carlisle may choose to play for a point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
47.69% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 25.68% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (0.070999999999998 0.07)52.22% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08% (0.061 0.06)73.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.9% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.093000000000004 0.09)55.16% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.13%
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
    Carlisle United 26.63%
    Draw 25.68%
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Carlisle

Tranmere Rovers
Draw
Carlisle United
Tranmere Rovers
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Tranmere

Clough (37')
MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
2-3
Tranmere
Kayode (3'), Anderton (27')
Woolery (21'), Vaughan (43', 88')
Lewis (12')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Tranmere
1-0
Carlisle
Taylor (51')
Monthe (54'), Lewis (69')

Hayden (67')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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