League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Mar 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
2 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Hardie (29'), Broom (61')
Mayor (32'), Sessegnon (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

Last Six:

Last Game: Plymouth 0-5 MK Dons
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Wycombe Wanderers	46	24	83
7	Plymouth Argyle	46	20	80
8	Oxford United	46	23	76

AFC Wimbledon

Last Six:

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38
23	AFC Wimbledon	46	-26	37
24	Crewe Alexandra	46	-46	29

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

As a Plymouth side gunning for the top six welcome a Wimbledon team devoid of any confidence, we can only see one outcome on Tuesday. The Pilgrims should have enough to send their visitors home empty-handed given the superior quality they boast, particularly in the front line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 15.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
63%	21.57%	15.44%

Both teams to score 47.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12%

48.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02%

70.98%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09%

14.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.72%

43.28%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.8%

44.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.71%

80.29%

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 62.99%

AFC Wimbledon 15.44%

Draw 21.57%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.52% 5-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.26% Total : 62.99%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.57%	0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 4.18% 0-2 @ 2.2% 1-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.44%