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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
60.13% | 22.68% | 17.19% |
Both teams to score 47.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.55% | 50.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.62% | 72.38% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% | 16.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.97% | 46.02% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.14% | 42.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.83% | 79.17% |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 5.87% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.49% 5-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.92% Total : 60.12% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.68% | 0-1 @ 5.95% 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |