Bolton4 - 0AFC Wimbledon
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Bolton have proven to be a formidable force at home in recent weeks, and we think that they will claim a fifth consecutive home victory when they face a Wimbledon side that have lost three of their last four away league matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 60.13% | 22.68% | 17.19% |
| Both teams to score 47.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% | 50.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% | 72.38% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% | 16.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.97% | 46.02% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.14% | 42.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.83% | 79.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 5.87% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.49% 5-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.92% Total : 60.12% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.68% | 0-1 @ 5.95% 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.19% |
How you voted: Bolton vs AFC Wimbledon
Tzanev (22'), Heneghan (62'), Guinness-Walker (65'), Assal (80')
