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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Morecambe

Plymouth
2 - 1
Morecambe

Ennis (69'), Cosgrove (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Connor (90+1')
Shaw (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Exeter
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Morecambe

While Plymouth are far from their best and the visitors have at least shown a degree of resilience recently, the Pilgrims will still see Saturday as a good opportunity to get back to winning ways, and they should have enough to outclass Morecambe and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMorecambe
62.44% (0.50700000000001 0.51) 21.06% (-0.226 -0.23) 16.49% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (0.479 0.48)44.85% (-0.48 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (0.45699999999999 0.46)67.21% (-0.459 -0.46)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.30799999999999 0.31)13.78% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91% (0.606 0.61)41.08% (-0.608 -0.61)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)40.38% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (-0.061 -0.06)77% (0.059000000000012 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 62.44%
    Morecambe 16.49%
    Draw 21.06%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.42% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 62.44%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.06%
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.49%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Morecambe

Plymouth Argyle
85.0%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Morecambe
Cooper (44'), Sarcevic (45' pen.), Grant (91')
Grant (19')

Brewitt (9')
Sutton (42')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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