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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Long (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whittaker (78')
Lonwijk (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

With both sides in patchy form, it is difficult to call this encounter with much conviction, but ultimately, the quality of the league leaders should tell. Plymouth have suffered with defensive injuries of late, so we can see the home side getting on the scoresheet, but the firepower of the division's top scorers should prove too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.06% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 25.37% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.57% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)47.94% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)70.12% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)27.64% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-0.124 -0.12)63.18% (0.123 0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)56.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.06%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.57%
    Draw 25.37%
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.57%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Plymouth

Cheltenham Town
13.6%
Draw
13.6%
Plymouth Argyle
72.7%
22
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Cheltenham
Varney (40'), Aimson (91' og.)
Doyle-Hayes (18'), Varney (50'), Raglan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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