League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 10, 2022 at 2pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Peart-Harris (75')
Burchnall (17')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (16'), Sercombe (45+1'), Freestone (54')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Cheltenham
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

In a match with permutations in the lower half of the table, we expect both sides to compete vigorously to gain another three points in League One. Nevertheless, there will be no separating the sides on the day, culminating in a point apiece for both Forest Green and Cheltenham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
51.39% ( 0.01)	24.62% ( -0)	23.99% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.95% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.96% (

-0.01)

50.04% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.98% (

-0.01)

72.02% (

0.01)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.54% (

19.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.68% (

51.32% (

-0.01)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5% (

-0.02)

35.5% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

-0.02)

72.26% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 51.38%

Cheltenham Town 23.99%

Draw 24.62%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.38%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.99%