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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (77')
Taylor (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perry (68'), Jackson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 2-0 Cheltenham Town

With the Cheltenham defence being easy to break down in their previous two fixtures, it is likely that Burton will find a way through and with the better form coming into this game, we would expect them to take the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
49.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.35% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.79% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.05% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)34.08% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 49.84%
    Cheltenham Town 25.35%
    Draw 24.79%
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.35%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cheltenham

Burton Albion
Draw
Cheltenham Town
Burton Albion
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
Burton Albion
Wright (21')
Blair (16')
Jebbison (51')
Oshilaja (64'), Hamer (78')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
Cheltenham
1-3
Burton Albion
Burns (55')
Brown (45')
Beavon (21'), McGurk (36'), Edwards (49')
Weir (81')
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham37218851302171
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe361911661342768
4Charlton AthleticCharlton37199949321766
5Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Barnsley37157155153-252
11Blackpool371215105550551
12Lincoln CityLincoln371310145345849
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham36129154042-245
15Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
16Exeter CityExeter36128164051-1144
17Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
19Northampton TownNorthampton371012153754-1742
20Bristol Rovers37126193960-2142
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3779213971-3230
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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