Burton Albion1 - 0Cheltenham
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Burton Albion 2-0 Cheltenham Town
With the Cheltenham defence being easy to break down in their previous two fixtures, it is likely that Burton will find a way through and with the better form coming into this game, we would expect them to take the three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
49.85% ( 0.03) | 24.8% ( -0) | 25.35% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% ( -0.02) | 49.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.02) | 71.62% ( 0.02) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( 0) | 19.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.94% ( 0.01) | 52.05% ( -0.01) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0.04) | 34.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.24% ( -0.04) | 70.76% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.84% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.35% |
