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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Cheltenham
1 - 4
Bristol Rovers

Sercombe (54' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-4)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Gibson (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-2 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers have won their last two league games and this puts them in a good position to pick up a positive result in this fixture. However, with Cheltenham being on good form at home and their most recent defeat being to a difficult Sheffield Wednesday side, we expect them to put on a good performance and therefore a draw seems the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 25.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 31.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)49.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)22.6% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.41% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.012 -0.01)65.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 43.29%
    Bristol Rovers 31.21%
    Draw 25.49%
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers

Cheltenham Town
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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