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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Cheltenham
1 - 4
Bristol Rovers

Sercombe (54' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-4)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Gibson (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-2 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers have won their last two league games and this puts them in a good position to pick up a positive result in this fixture. However, with Cheltenham being on good form at home and their most recent defeat being to a difficult Sheffield Wednesday side, we expect them to put on a good performance and therefore a draw seems the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 25.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 31.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)49.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)22.6% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.41% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.012 -0.01)65.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 43.29%
    Bristol Rovers 31.21%
    Draw 25.49%
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers

Cheltenham Town
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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